The Jasmine Star Show · How to Keep Creating, Growing, and Moving When Business Feels Hard
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Earn team trust by making a prediction, then if the prediction comes true, use that as proof to gain permission to pursue the vision
“Hanson wrote up the academic case for prediction markets generally, invented policy prediction markets, pointed out prediction markets' potential uses in science and governance and corporate governance and pushed for early prediction markets to get started.”
“If you can get that information and you can turn that unstructured data into semi-structured data and connect it to the prediction, then you can use the storytelling power of the large language models”
“We found that in our case … performance as rated by one's colleagues after 12 months… then you need to identify as many signals as you can… see what combinations of signals best predict that outcome”
“Property manager raises rent every quarter… if you can predict when those rent increases are going to happen, then that can help also with your pro forma and cash flow.”
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