“The diversifier is a bond that the best predictor for intermediate majority bonds is the starting yield. Yields have a lot of room to fall… cushion the downside.”
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Said on Squawk Box Europe Express
Macro Voices · MacroVoices #552 David Rosenberg: Navigating The Noise
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argues that the market’s focus on inflation is overblown and that bond yields will fall despite current high short-positions
“The diversifier is a bond that the best predictor for intermediate majority bonds is the starting yield. Yields have a lot of room to fall… cushion the downside.”
“If the bond market is offering me mid-5% yields, I want to start getting in… high-5% → more… 6% → even more.”
“The inflation component in nominal bonds plays an important role… when you hold nominal bonds, that's of course exposed… the increase in bond risks has some similarities… bonds and stocks have moved together.”
“You can measure market stress by a big fall in the overall S&P 500, or by the VIX being high. In those times momentum typically fails.”
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