“Pre-registering experimental predictions by using for example Fatebook helps me notice when I should be surprised and update my model of the world.”

“Hanson wrote up the academic case for prediction markets generally, invented policy prediction markets, pointed out prediction markets' potential uses in science and governance and corporate governance and pushed for early prediction markets to get started.”

“Owl read through all of that, and basically recreated a CRM that's more custom for us… It created an inventory tool… gives us predictive purchasing decisions”

“They use Amplitude to get predictive behavioral data on day one. They spot bottlenecks and execute changes in a matter of weeks, not quarters.”

“Leaders who are willing to eat risk… unless we do active experimentation, we're not going to know anything.”