“We have a long-term-care framework ... based on the health and retirement study ... we simulate needing care and use cost assumptions”
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Said on The Long View
Spencer Look · The Long View · Spencer Look and Jack VanDerhei: The Assumptions That Can Put Your Retirement at Risk
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Ran a version of the retirement model that excluded long-term-care costs to see the impact on shortfall rates
40-45% shortfall with LTC included; 25% shortfall when LTC excluded
“We have a long-term-care framework ... based on the health and retirement study ... we simulate needing care and use cost assumptions”
“I would do cost by app… or cost by model… I track spend and efficiency by model, so devs can look and see what’s the best model per their workload”
“We built this on top of a government survey, the Survey of Consumer Finances… we incorporate people's wages, savings, job changes… long-term care… produce a distribution of outcomes on retirement income adequacy.”
“‘Do experiments… given one version of an AI and teams given the previous version, and see what the productivity uplift…’”
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