“Normally, when Republicans start to take away, chip away... by late September and early October, that polling lead has been chipped away, and then Republicans gain and gain.”

The New Yorker Radio Hour · Has MAGA Lost Faith in Donald Trump?

Play from 13:18
13:18

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What was described

uses a historical polling pattern where Republican leads are chipped away early, then rebound in late September-October, to forecast election outcomes

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