“Supply is measurable, but demand is storytelling… if I see disciplined supply curtailment… I increase my odds of a better investment outcome.”

Django Davidson · The Master Investor Podcast with Wilfred Frost · How to Profit When Cycles Turn - Django Davidson on Capital Cycle Investing

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What was described

Invest in sectors where supply is constrained (e.g., semiconductors, copper mines, shipping) rather than focusing on demand forecasts

Said nearby on the same subject

“We've always been focused on what we call diversification by design. Diversified by geography, by sector, by vintage, by number of investments.”
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Why it worked Share this moment
“We’re very focused on the latter rather than focusing on things that we think are going to be very commoditized … multimodal representations”
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Contrarian take Share this moment
“I use Dart's multi-sided business framework as one of the core process pieces in business… all businesses are demand constrained”
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Said on Work For Humans

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