“It said that Anthropic leaving the race decreased 2030 capabilities from 230. Right arrow. 222. This is equivalent to their absence slowing things down by 6 months during just over 4 years or 12%”

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) · "Against SURA" by Scott Alexander

Play from 16:52
16:52

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What was described

asked FutureSearch to estimate the ePark capabilities index of the top model on 31 December 2030 depending on whether Anthropic quit the race

230 to 222 (12% drop, equivalent to 6 months slowdown)

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