“Kansas could move 14 points more Democrat than it was last time”

“And when we moved to Kansas, our overhead shrunk by more than 50%.”

“…if you could make a prediction, six plus days in advance, the impact on people would be dramatically halved…expanded to over 150 countries…more than two billion people…”

“Those experiments could help boost response rates by two or three points. Do that a few times over, and thousands more people could stay insured.”

“Hanson wrote up the academic case for prediction markets generally, invented policy prediction markets, pointed out prediction markets' potential uses in science and governance and corporate governance and pushed for early prediction markets to get started.”