“The 10-year tip now yields 2.92%, Katie… that’s starting to be enough of a yield where I kind of want to own that.”
RA
Rob Armstrong
Unhedged ·
The Real Eisman Playbook · 5% Rates, Bessent's Failed Gamble & What Comes Next w/ Krishna Guha | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 78
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cited the change in the 10-year Treasury yield since July
from ~4.5% to 5.25%
“The 10-year tip now yields 2.92%, Katie… that’s starting to be enough of a yield where I kind of want to own that.”
“What would it take for the bond market to have a negative return over the next 10 years? It would take 14%-15% 10-year yields in the next five to seven years.”
“The day before the war started… 10-year yield… was below 4%. Now we’re sitting with a yield of 5.25%”
“At one point, we had about a 80% correlation on a one-month basis between two-year treasury yields and the price of oil.”
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