“Exposure you should want to have to risky assets ... is proportional to the expected risk premium ... divided by the risk of those risky assets”
VH
Victor Haghani
The Rational Reminder Podcast ·
Harley Bassman · Alpha Exchange · Harley Bassman, The Convexity Maven
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Calculate the expected daily move of an asset by dividing its BIC (bond implied volatility) value by 16
BICs currently 15.9 → daily move ≈ 1 % (15.9/16)
“Exposure you should want to have to risky assets ... is proportional to the expected risk premium ... divided by the risk of those risky assets”
“I would do volatility targeting at the portfolio level… if I would expect that the volatility going forward would be elevated, then I would cut the risk across the board at a portfolio level.”
“It's a simple formula. And what it is, is it calculates a ratio, a number that takes your net operating income divided by your total annual debt service, your debt payments, and it gives you a number that can be used to compare.”
“The inflation component in nominal bonds plays an important role… when you hold nominal bonds, that's of course exposed… the increase in bond risks has some similarities… bonds and stocks have moved together.”
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