“Smart money is trading what's called a credit derivative swap… risk spiked… about 16% chance of default in any given year.”

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · CoreWeave Crash, AI Trade Cracks, Anthropic IPO Red Flags, Bill Gates Doomer

Play from 6:38
6:38

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What was described

Financed the boxes by borrowing money and using credit-default swaps (CDS) as default insurance for the debt

CDS risk spiked to about 953 basis points (~16% annual default probability, ~55% over five years)

Said nearby on the same subject

“Absolute return investing, on the other hand, it's not just a long only fund. I can go long. I can go short. I can put on relative value trades. I can use synthetics like credit default swaps.”
BE
Bill Egan JP Morgan Strategic Income Opportunities Fund
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“Debt used wisely is one of the most powerful tools... borrow money at a reasonable rate... deploy it into an asset that compounds at a higher rate over time.”
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Michael Yardney
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“About three quarters of our borrowers are repeat borrowers… they’re identifying opportunities that fit the box on paper.”
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“The US government has borrowed an astonishing amount of money, I mean, it's over $40 trillion now.”
RW
Rob Wigglesworth
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Hard number over $40 trillion Share this moment

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