“I told them that the chances of success were actually relatively small... we wrote a paper... it's unlikely we're going to be successful. That's true buy-in.”

“The only ways to get around it are to raise some money such that you can go full-time… odds are extremely low without traction.”

“Who is subscribing after the event, whether that’s a discount code, how many people are scanning the QR code… to understand the true success”

“Hanson wrote up the academic case for prediction markets generally, invented policy prediction markets, pointed out prediction markets' potential uses in science and governance and corporate governance and pushed for early prediction markets to get started.”

“Use AI... eliminate low-value work and create capacity. With that capacity, check in with a team member, call the patient..., mentor your associate, recognize somebody doing great work...”